Posts Tagged ‘football’

A Most Improbable Texans Win

Sunday, September 19th, 2010

The Texans 30-27 overtime win over the Washington Redskins has to count as one of the most improbable of recent memory. If you had showed up at a Las Vegas betting window right after Donovan McNabb’s touchdown pass to Chris Cooley made it 27-10, you probably could have gotten some pretty steep odds on a Texans victory.

A few random observations:

  • Those Fantasy Football gurus who suggested sitting Matt Schaub after Arian Foster’s 231 yard day last week have enough egg on their face to feed a family of four omelets for a week. 497 yards passing for Schaub. The Texans are now officially The Team Most likely to Put up Madden Numbers During Any Given Week.
  • Unlike previous years, the Redskins are actually a very solid team (despite Dan Snyder’s best efforts). Given that Philadelphia is also 1-1, and the Cowboys lost again (to the Bears, thanks to two picks by Tony “Perpetually Overrated” Romo), expect them to be in the hunt for the NFC East title for the entire season.
  • The Redskins run defense was much tougher than the Colts, with Arian Foster going from a godlike 231 yards last week to a workman-like 69 yards on 19 carries this week.
  • After two weeks, Houston looks like an honest-to-God playoff team.
  • Three sacks for Mario Williams, for a total of four on the year. I don’t think that anyone can dispute that the Texans got it right in picking him number 1. The Texans defensive line forced McNabb to make amazing throws to dig himself out of third-and-long holes all day.
  • Which, sadly, he made for most of the game. The Texans won’t be a SuperBowl team as long as a weak secondary gives up career passing days for every quarterback they face.
  • The Titans lost. Three turnovers, Vince? (Insert UT fan sigh here) And Chris Johnson gained all of 34 yards. Going to be pretty hard to rack up a 2,500 yard rushing season like that…
  • The Jaguars also lost, which means the Texans now sit alone atop the AFC South for the first time since, well, ever.
  • The Texans aren’t just good, they’re really good, as this was a game they had all but lost before Schaub pulled their chestnuts out of the fire. Come-from-17-points-behind road victories are few and far between in the NFL.
  • The Texans should be favored to beat the Cowboys at home next week. It would be nice if they didn’t dig themselves a 17-point hole at the beginning…

Why deny the obvious child?

Wednesday, September 15th, 2010

Arian Foster named NFL Offensive Player of the Week.

This was probably the biggest football no-brainer since Vince Young’s Rose Bowl MVP Award.

More on Arian Foster

Monday, September 13th, 2010

Just how good was Arian Foster’s 231 yard game?

Taking a look at the official statistics for the modern era:

  • His game would rank as the 22nd best ever, just behind Jim Brown’s 232 yards (his second-best game)
  • It’s more yards than was ever gained in a single game than Earl Campbell (206), Ricky Williams (228), Priest Holmes (227), Jerome Bettis (212), Marshall Faulk (220), Gale Sayers (205), Marcus Allen (191), or Tony Dorsett (206).
  • Of those ahead of him on the list, there are Hall-of-Famers (Walter Peyton, Jim Brown, O. J. Simpson, Eric Dickerson, Barry Sanders, Emmitt Smith), borderline great players (Cookie Gilchrist), some of today’s best running backs (Adrian Peterson, LaDainian Tomlinson), etc. Of that group, only Willie Ellison and Mike Anderson had merely average careers, and even they had at least one 1,000 yard rushing season.
  • It’s the most yards ever in their history against the Colts.
  • It’s three yards better than the best game of division rival (and aspiring 2,500 yard rusher) Chris Johnson of the Titans.

What all this suggests is that Arian Foster is extremely likely to have a very, very good season.

Vote on your prediction for the Houston Texans 2010 regular season

Wednesday, September 8th, 2010

Now that football season is upon us again, here’s a break for the usual science fiction and book geeking to present a poll on how the Texans will do this season. Rather than break things into ranges, I’ve made the poll granular enough that you can choose all the regular season outcomes from 0-16 to 16-0. (If there’s a tie, well, the poll is hosed, but such is life.)

Offer up your predictions, then comment below so you can claim bragging rights come January.

What will the Houston Texans regular season record be this year?
0-16
1-15
2-14
3-13
4-12
5-11
6-10
7-9
8-8
9-7
10-6
11-5
12-4
13-3
14-2
15-1
16-0
  
pollcode.com free polls

Nebraska jumps to Big 10, the Conference Shuffle, and why not SuperConference America?

Thursday, June 10th, 2010

Numerous sources are reporting this morning that Nebraska is jumping from the Big 12 to the Big 10. (Nigel Tufnel: “Why do that? The Big 12 is two bigger!”) So now the Big 10 will have 12 members, and the Big 12 will have 11. Assuming, of course, that six of them don’t go off to the Pac-10, which would make it the PAC-16.

Of course the move is all about money. (Though I wonder how much having the Longhorns own the Cornhuskers in football contributed to the decision. Going back through the records, I was surprised to see that Nebraska has beaten Texas at football only once throughout the entire existence of the Big 12, and even that year (1999) they were only .500 against the Longhorns, having lost to them in the conference schedule before beating them in the Big 12 Championship game.)

But if it’s is all about money, why stop there? Every conference has its Little Sisters of the Poor for marquee programs to beat up on every year, be it Baylor or Vanderbilt. Why not create a real national power conference, consisting of all football powerhouses? Call it SuperConference America. (I was thinking about SuperConference USA, but that’s too close to Conference USA, about which there’s nothing super, and it’s best not to tarnish the brand before you’re even out of the gate.)

An eight team conference would look like this:

Alabama
Florida
LSU
Oklahoma
Ohio State
Penn State
Texas
USC

Every team there has a huge following and a strong football tradition, and every team there except Penn State has won a National Championship in the last decade.

Want to make it a sixteen team conference and add a Conference (and de facto National) Championship game? Add:

Florida State
Miami
Michigan
Nebraska
Notre Dame
Tennessee
Virginia Tech
one more team (BYU and Washington are two possibilities, if only for regional balance in the west)

Now you have a conference that includes every team that’s ever played for a National Championship in the BCS/BCA era, and every AP champion back to 1991.

Can you imagine the TV ratings of those powerhouse schools playing each other every week? I suspect SuperConference America would earn more than all the other football conferences combined; every week would feature multiple games between powerhouse teams. It would be great for fans and great for the schools included. (And schools left out? Well, no one is really worry about them in the current conference realignment, so why should we?)

Academics? Other sports? Rivalry games?

Yeah, let’s pretend those matter. This is all about money, and great football. But none of those schools are slouches in the academics department. As for other sports, just like Notre Dame plays in the Big East for everything else, the teams in SuperConference America could retain their existing conference affiliations for other sports. And 7 games against SuperConference America foes still leaves space on the schedule for the Longhorns to beat up on the Aggies, for Florida and Alabama to pretend Georgia matters, etc.

This scheme is a sure-fire money maker. No one is going to miss seeing Texas play Baylor when they can see them play Alabama every year. And the only thing anybody has to give up (except for a few wins every year from playing real football teams rather than conference patsies) is the pretense that college football conferences are about anything other than money.

The Houston Texans are the Youngest Team in the NFL

Thursday, May 6th, 2010

Here’s an interesting breakdown of the average “adjusted” age (i.e., one that gives more weight to starters than backups, etc.) of every team in the NFL. The Texans, with an average age of 25.9 years, were the youngest team in the league. (The New England Patriots, at an average age of 28.7 years, were the oldest.) Breaking it down further, the Texans defense, at at an average age of 25.3, were the youngest defense in the league. (The Pittsburgh Steelers, at an average age of 29.2 years, just edged out the Denver Broncos (28.9) as the oldest defense.) On Offense, the Texans were the fifth youngest team, with an average age of 26.5, just slightly older than Philadelphia, Miami (both 26.1), Tampa Bay (26.2) and St. Louis (26.4). (The Patriots offense, at an average age of 29.7, more than a year older than runner-up Minnesota (28.6, probably due to a hefty assist from the Favre Factor) were the clear winners of the the NFL’s Get Off My Lawn Trophy.)

What does all this mean? Probably not a whole lot. But all other things being equal, it’s better to be young than old, and the Texans should (presumably) have a bit more headroom for getting better.

Presumably.

Not a Serious Analysis of the Texans’ 2010 Draft Choices

Saturday, April 24th, 2010

Through three rounds, the Texans have selected:

  1. Cornerback Kareem Jackson of Alabama
  2. Running back Ben Tate of Auburn
  3. Defensive tackle Earl Mitchell of Arizona

I’m sure they’ll all turn out to be fine players, but a less reasonable man than myself might wonder why the Texans’ brain trust started looking at colleges for potential draftees in alphabetical order and never got past the first chapter…

Texas Stadium Implosion

Sunday, April 11th, 2010

It blew up real good.

Updated: An aerial view:

An Example of Why Longhorn Fans Love Mack Brown

Monday, January 11th, 2010

With Longhorn safety Earl Thomas declaring for the NFL, and Pete Carroll decamping for the Seahawks, I thought I would post one short bit about why Longhorns fans love Mack Brown. (In addition to the whole “won a national Championship and constantly wins 10 games a year” thing.) Here’s what he said about Thomas’ decision:

“We appreciate everything Earl has done for Texas and want to wish him all of the best. He has been a great player for us and more importantly a tremendous person, student and representative of our program. We thank him, support him and look forward to following his career in the NFL.”

It may seem a touch biolerplate, but it’s a very thankful, very gracious statement. I’m sure more than one recruit’s mother or father will read that and go: “Gee, Mack Brown is such a nice guy. I feel safe entrusting my son to him.” And Brown does seem to manage his program in pretty a classy manner.

You would think this would be pretty standard for a college coach, or at least successful ones. But you’d be wrong. Contrast, for example, with then-USC coach Pete Carroll said when Mark Sanchez announced he was coming out early for the 2009 NFL Draft:

“We don’t see this decision the same. … Mark is going against the grain on this decision. He knows that. He knows that coming out early is a tremendous challenge for a quarterback. And the statistics don’t back up that it’s easy to be successful the way he’s going about it. We know that, he knows that. … I don’t agree with the assessment of the decision.”

That’s not quite rude, but it is pretty tone-deaf to talk that way about one of your best players. As for who was right, well, Sanchez has had his ups and downs, but given he’s $28 million richer and is starting for an NFL playoff team, you have to give him the edge.

I also found this bit from Sanchez on Carroll’s jump to the pros pretty amusing: “I just wanted everybody to know I completely disagree with his decision. Statistics show that it’s not a good choice.”

(And no, I didn’t blog about UT’s loss to Alabama in the National Championship Game. When Colt McCoy got knocked out, it was obvious that UT’s chances of winning were going to be pretty slim, and I couldn’t bear to watch any more after that ill-fated shovel pass snafu that ended the first half. If McCoy had been healthy, the outcome might well have been different, but give the Crimson Tide credit: Their job was to beat the team that was actually on the field, and they did that in convincing fashion, so congrats to them for a well-earned National Championship.)

Texans Clinch Winning Season, Miss Playoffs, Gary Kubiak to Return

Sunday, January 3rd, 2010

The Texans finally have a winning season after beating new England 34-27. Moreover, in Arian Foster, they appear to have (finally!) found their running back of the future. (Of course we said that about Dominick Davis/Williams and Steve Slaton as well, so who knows?)

Alas, their slim playoff hopes were crushed like an aluminum can when the Jets similarly crushed the Bengals 37-0. to lock up the last spot. Ouch.

A, owner Bob McNair announced that coach Gary Kubiak will be coaching the team next season. Given the strong finish, I’m about 60% sure that’s the right decision. The 2007 Texans probably overachieved at 8-8, and Kubiak has a lot more talent at his disposal than the 2007 and 2008 squads had. Next year, though, the playoffs should be the minimum a team with the top-rated passer in the NFL should expect for success. And before calling for yet another coach firing, everyone should remember: Winning in the NFL is hard.